NextHome Valleywide Market Update December 2017

Phoenix Market Update courtesy of Craig and Stacey Akers at NextHome Valleywide.  Contact 480-621-6828 or info@nexthomevalleywide.com for a Seller Solution book that will give you selling tips, pricing, and comparable home sales in your area.

23% of Listings Under $200K Sell Over List Price

Greater Phoenix Appreciation on 6.2% Overall, But Varies

2017-12 Infographic

For Buyers:

There are currently 1,399 normal* single family listings between $100K-$200K in Greater Phoenix and supply levels are not expected to rise in this price range going into 2018. In the last half of 2017, an average of 1,396 normal single family new listings were added each month while 1,375 per month were sold in this price range. In November, 23% sold over list price compared to 27% last June and 28% closed with full price offers compared to 28% in June.

*A normal listing is one that is not a short sale or foreclosure.

For Sellers:

The overall appreciation on rate based on annual sale price per square foot in Greater Phoenix is 6.2%. However, supply and demand are not the same by price range. The greatest appreciation on rates are under $200K due to a lack of new construction on that would typically balance out the supply shortage. Sales under $200K are 33% of all sales this year, so their rate has a large effect on the overall average. New multi-family and single family homes are being added to the $200K-$500K price range to accommodate increased demand, but it’s still not quite enough. The market is balanced between $500K-$1M, while supply is still higher than demand over $1M despite a 10% rise in 4th quarter contracts. As a result, appreciation on rates are as follows by price range:

  • Under $200K: 7.7%
  • $200K-$500K: 3.5%
  • $500K-$1M: 1.7%
  • Over $1M: 0.1%

Contact the real estate experts at NextHome Valleywide in Chandler, AZ at 480-621-6828 for more information.  If you are currently looking at buying or selling a home in the Phoenix, Scottsdale or East Valley area and are not sure where to turn, search for homes at ChandlerAreaHomeSearch.comwhere you can find single family homes, golf and lakefront properties, 55+ communities, townhomes and much more. Visit our blog at NextHome Valleywide for a monthly Phoenix Market Update. 

 

Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Real Estate Analyst with The Cromford Report ©2017 Cromford Associates LLC and Tamboer Consulting LLC

NextHome Valleywide Market Update November 2017

Phoenix Market Update courtesy of Craig and Stacey Akers at NextHome Valleywide.  Contact 480-621-6828 or info@nexthomevalleywide.com for a Seller Solution book that will give you selling tips, pricing, and comparable home sales in your area.

4th Quarter is Good for Buyers!
Supply up 11% since August, Down 12% from 2016

2017-11 Infographic

For Buyers:

The 4th quarter is a good time to be a buyer seasonally. After April or May, buyer activity gradually declines every month with the 4th quarter seeing the lowest level of contracts in escrow. This is typical within all price ranges. Meanwhile, supply levels tend to rally in October with new listings after becoming stale over the summer months. This provides the remaining buyers with more listings to choose from and fewer competing offers. A welcome relief for many, however this seasonal lull doesn’t mean buyers will win with low offers. For most buyers, this environment only provides fewer competing offers on their preferred properties. It doesn’t necessarily mean they’ll get a bargain.

For Sellers:

While 2017 is still outperforming the last 5 years in sales volume, contracts in escrow have declined 30% since peaking in April. Supply is up 11% after hitting a low in August, bringing current listing counts within 1% of where they were in April. While seasonal and expected, this environment creates a more competitive environment for sellers compared to the Spring season. As a result, the number of price reductions counted every week has gone up 20% since the beginning of September. Expect price reductions to remain high as sellers push to get their properties under contract before Thanksgiving.

Contact the real estate experts at NextHome Valleywide in Chandler, AZ at 480-621-6828 for more information.  If you are currently looking at buying or selling a home in the Phoenix, Scottsdale or East Valley area and are not sure where to turn, search for homes at ChandlerAreaHomeSearch.comwhere you can find single family homes, golf and lakefront properties, 55+ communities, townhomes and much more. Visit our blog at NextHome Valleywide for a monthly Phoenix Market Update.

Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Real Estate Analyst with The Cromford Report ©2017 Cromford Associates LLC and Tamboer Consulting LLC

NextHome Valleywide Market Update October 2017

Phoenix Market Update courtesy of Craig and Stacey Akers at NextHome Valleywide.  Contact 480-621-6828 or info@nexthomevalleywide.com for a Seller Solution book that will give you selling tips, pricing, and comparable home sales in your area.

Third Quarter MLS Sales Up Only 2% Over 2016

High End MLS Sales Over $600K Up 27%

OctoberInfographic

Market For Buyers:

The median home size sold through the MLS this year is 1,774 square feet. Interestingly, this measure hasn’t fluctuated more than a couple square feet up or down since 2015. Considering the increasing cost per square foot, the fact that the median sized home sold hasn’t fluctuated much means that buyers are willing to pay more for the right sized home if they have the choice. For buyers with less flexibility on price, the cost of waiting comes in the form of sacrificing extra closet space, work space, or even a bedroom. Last year, the median home size for buyers in the $150K- $175K price range was 1,470sf. This year it’s only 1,380sf, a difference of 90 square feet.

Market For Sellers:

The first half of 2017 was more exciting than the second half is turning out to be so far for MLS sales. 1st Quarter 2017 MLS sales outperformed 2016 by 14% and 2nd Quarter sales were up 7%, so a 2% growth rate for the 3rd Quarter puts a damper on our excitement. Low supply in the lower price ranges is mostly to blame as it’s difficult to have record sales growth if there are fewer people willing to sell their home. There are more people willing to put their home on the market in the higher price ranges however. New listings over $600K were up nearly 10% in the 3rd Quarter and sales were up an impressive 27%.

Contact the real estate experts at NextHome Valleywide in Chandler, AZ at 480-621-6828 for more information.  If you are currently looking at buying or selling a home in the Phoenix, Scottsdale or East Valley area and are not sure where to turn, search for homes at ChandlerAreaHomeSearch.com, where you can find single family homes, golf and lakefront properties, 55+ communities, townhomes and much more. Visit our blog at NextHome Valleywide for a monthly Phoenix Market Update.

Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Real Estate Analyst with The Cromford Report ©2017 Cromford Associates LLC and Tamboer Consulting LLC

Phoenix Market Update February 2017

Phoenix Market Update courtesy of Craig and Stacey Akers at NextHome Valleywide.  Contact 480-621-6828 or info@nexthomevalleywide.com for a Seller Solution book that will give you selling tips, pricing, and comparable home sales in your area.

 

More Qualified Buyers Expected in 2017
Supply is Down 9.3%, Buyer Demand is Up 4.5%!

Phoenix Metro Infographic - 2017-02

 

For Buyers:
Buyers be prepared for another year of increased competition for ex-isting active listings in the Phoenix Metropolitan Area, partly because of over 50,000 more foreclosures due to be removed from credit reports in 2017. That’s in addition to the nearly 50,000 foreclosures that were re-moved from credit reports in 2016. A foreclosure can suppress a credit score by 100 points in many cases, so their removal is resulting in a high-er number of qualified buyers and a 20% increase in the rate of approved mortgage applications over the past 2 years. Increases in buyer activity are expected across all price points under $1,000,000.
For Sellers:
It’s starting off very good for existing sellers thus far, as January was the 3rd slowest month for new listings on the market dating back to 2001. This, combined with increases in demand, is resulting in active listings remaining very low when it typically rises in the first quarter just before spring buyer season. New home builders have been creating new supply for buyers, mostly in the $300,000 to $500,000 price range, especially in North Phoenix, South Phoenix, Mesa, Gilbert, Peoria and Buck-eye. With the supply and demand imbalance giving sellers a negotiating advantage, it’s reasonable to expect more appraisals coming in lower than negotiated sales price and buyers who are either unwilling or unable to cover the difference.

Contact the real estate experts at NextHome Valleywide in Chandler, AZ at 480-621-6828 for more information.  If you are currently looking at buying or selling a home in the Phoenix, Scottsdale or East Valley area and are not sure where to turn, search for homes at ChandlerAreaHomeSearch.com, where you can find single family homes, golf and lakefront properties, 55+ communities, townhomes and much more. Visit our blog at NextHomeValleywide for a monthly Phoenix Market Update.
Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Real Estate Analyst with The Cromford Report ©2017 Cromford Associates LLC and Tamboer Consulting LLC

 

Phoenix Market Update January 2017

Phoenix Market Update courtesy of Craig and Stacey Akers at NextHome Valleywide.  Contact 480-621-6828 or info@nexthomevalleywide.com for a Seller Solution book that will give you selling tips, pricing, and comparable home sales in your area.

2016 Sales up 7% over 2015
2016 Median Sales Price 7.7% Higher than 2015

Welcome 2017!  The headlines these days are full of projections and reflections for the Phoenix Metropolitan Area residential real estate market.  To complement our monthly measures here are some year-end numbers to reflect on.

2016 MLS Sales – Up 7.0% overall compared to 2015
·        72.9% of sales were under $300,000 (# of sales up 3.4%)
·        19.6% of sales were between $300,000 and $500,000 (# of sales up 20.2%)
·        6.1% of sales were between $500,000 and $1,000,000 (# of sales up 15.4%)
·        1.4% of sales were over $1,000,000 (# of sales up 8.1%)

2016 New Listings – up 4.6% overall compared to 2015
·        65.8% of new listings were under $300,000 (# of new listings up 0.8%)
·        22.0% of new listings were between $300,000 and $500,000 (# of new listings up 13.5%)
·        9.2% of new listings were between $500,000 and $1,000,000 (# of new listings up 13.6%)
·        3.0% of new listings were over $1,000,000 (# of new listings up 5.7%)

2016 Appreciation based on Annual Sales Price per Square Foot – up 5.4% from 2015
·        Under $300,000 – up 7.6%
·        $300,000 – $500,000 – up 2.0%
·        $500,000 – $1,000,000 – Less than 1% change
·        Over $1,000,000 – Less than 1% change

It’s been a good news/bad news year for sellers over $500,000.  The good news is that more buyers purchased in the higher price ranges in 2016 than in 2015.  The bad news is the neighbors also noticed increased demand and listed their homes too, increasing the number of new listings on the market simultaneously.  This increased supply, combined with builders getting in on the action over $250,000, created a more competitive and balanced market and put price increases in check.

It’s been good news/bad news for buyers under $300,000.  The good news is their homes have appreciated nicely over the past year.  The bad news, finding move-in ready homes and winning the bid was more stressful and competitive than many expected.  Especially for single family homes under $200,000.  (Yes, they do exist.)

Looking forward in the short term, the market can expect more buyers emerging with improved credit scores as we move farther away in time from the foreclosure and short sale crisis.  Recent announcements regarding FHA loan limit increases and lower mortgage insurance premium fees signify a loosening up in lending that will contribute to more demand for listings under $300,000. Higher interest rates will cause some buyers to purchase smaller homes than they anticipated, putting even more pressure on the market under $300,000; which is already short of supply for existing demand.  With nearly 73% of all sales in this price point, it’s reasonable to expect appreciation to continue to be positive for the Phoenix Metropolitan Area overall.

Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Real Estate Analyst with The Cromford Report ©2016 Cromford Associates LLC and Tamboer Consulting LLC