Phoenix Market Update February 2017

Phoenix Market Update courtesy of Craig and Stacey Akers at NextHome Valleywide.  Contact 480-621-6828 or info@nexthomevalleywide.com for a Seller Solution book that will give you selling tips, pricing, and comparable home sales in your area.

 

More Qualified Buyers Expected in 2017
Supply is Down 9.3%, Buyer Demand is Up 4.5%!

Phoenix Metro Infographic - 2017-02

 

For Buyers:
Buyers be prepared for another year of increased competition for ex-isting active listings in the Phoenix Metropolitan Area, partly because of over 50,000 more foreclosures due to be removed from credit reports in 2017. That’s in addition to the nearly 50,000 foreclosures that were re-moved from credit reports in 2016. A foreclosure can suppress a credit score by 100 points in many cases, so their removal is resulting in a high-er number of qualified buyers and a 20% increase in the rate of approved mortgage applications over the past 2 years. Increases in buyer activity are expected across all price points under $1,000,000.
For Sellers:
It’s starting off very good for existing sellers thus far, as January was the 3rd slowest month for new listings on the market dating back to 2001. This, combined with increases in demand, is resulting in active listings remaining very low when it typically rises in the first quarter just before spring buyer season. New home builders have been creating new supply for buyers, mostly in the $300,000 to $500,000 price range, especially in North Phoenix, South Phoenix, Mesa, Gilbert, Peoria and Buck-eye. With the supply and demand imbalance giving sellers a negotiating advantage, it’s reasonable to expect more appraisals coming in lower than negotiated sales price and buyers who are either unwilling or unable to cover the difference.

Contact the real estate experts at NextHome Valleywide in Chandler, AZ at 480-621-6828 for more information.  If you are currently looking at buying or selling a home in the Phoenix, Scottsdale or East Valley area and are not sure where to turn, search for homes at ChandlerAreaHomeSearch.com, where you can find single family homes, golf and lakefront properties, 55+ communities, townhomes and much more. Visit our blog at NextHomeValleywide for a monthly Phoenix Market Update.
Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Real Estate Analyst with The Cromford Report ©2017 Cromford Associates LLC and Tamboer Consulting LLC

 

Phoenix Market Update January 2017

Phoenix Market Update courtesy of Craig and Stacey Akers at NextHome Valleywide.  Contact 480-621-6828 or info@nexthomevalleywide.com for a Seller Solution book that will give you selling tips, pricing, and comparable home sales in your area.

2016 Sales up 7% over 2015
2016 Median Sales Price 7.7% Higher than 2015

Welcome 2017!  The headlines these days are full of projections and reflections for the Phoenix Metropolitan Area residential real estate market.  To complement our monthly measures here are some year-end numbers to reflect on.

2016 MLS Sales – Up 7.0% overall compared to 2015
·        72.9% of sales were under $300,000 (# of sales up 3.4%)
·        19.6% of sales were between $300,000 and $500,000 (# of sales up 20.2%)
·        6.1% of sales were between $500,000 and $1,000,000 (# of sales up 15.4%)
·        1.4% of sales were over $1,000,000 (# of sales up 8.1%)

2016 New Listings – up 4.6% overall compared to 2015
·        65.8% of new listings were under $300,000 (# of new listings up 0.8%)
·        22.0% of new listings were between $300,000 and $500,000 (# of new listings up 13.5%)
·        9.2% of new listings were between $500,000 and $1,000,000 (# of new listings up 13.6%)
·        3.0% of new listings were over $1,000,000 (# of new listings up 5.7%)

2016 Appreciation based on Annual Sales Price per Square Foot – up 5.4% from 2015
·        Under $300,000 – up 7.6%
·        $300,000 – $500,000 – up 2.0%
·        $500,000 – $1,000,000 – Less than 1% change
·        Over $1,000,000 – Less than 1% change

It’s been a good news/bad news year for sellers over $500,000.  The good news is that more buyers purchased in the higher price ranges in 2016 than in 2015.  The bad news is the neighbors also noticed increased demand and listed their homes too, increasing the number of new listings on the market simultaneously.  This increased supply, combined with builders getting in on the action over $250,000, created a more competitive and balanced market and put price increases in check.

It’s been good news/bad news for buyers under $300,000.  The good news is their homes have appreciated nicely over the past year.  The bad news, finding move-in ready homes and winning the bid was more stressful and competitive than many expected.  Especially for single family homes under $200,000.  (Yes, they do exist.)

Looking forward in the short term, the market can expect more buyers emerging with improved credit scores as we move farther away in time from the foreclosure and short sale crisis.  Recent announcements regarding FHA loan limit increases and lower mortgage insurance premium fees signify a loosening up in lending that will contribute to more demand for listings under $300,000. Higher interest rates will cause some buyers to purchase smaller homes than they anticipated, putting even more pressure on the market under $300,000; which is already short of supply for existing demand.  With nearly 73% of all sales in this price point, it’s reasonable to expect appreciation to continue to be positive for the Phoenix Metropolitan Area overall.

Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Real Estate Analyst with The Cromford Report ©2016 Cromford Associates LLC and Tamboer Consulting LLC

Real Estate 2017: What to Expect

Real Estate 2017: What to Expect

One of the most common questions we get about real estate this time of year is, “What’s going on in the market?” It’s not just potential buyers and sellers who are curious; homeowners always want reassurance their home’s value is going up. The good news is the American real estate market is strong and healthy: home values are up, prices and sales are strong, and millennial first-time buyers are eager to become homeowners.

We often use national real estate numbers to give us a clearer view of our local market. However, real estate is local, and while statistics and predictions help us understand the overall real estate market, our local market may be different. If you’re thinking of buying or selling, or just want to know how much your home is worth, give us a call!

What to Expect in the Real Estate Market in 2017

The American housing market is stronger than ever! Home values, prices and sales had their strongest numbers in 2016, a sure sign the market is healthy and strong. According to the Home Price Index from the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), property values have increased in 58 of the last 62 months and have increased more than 35 percent nationally. Homeowners continue to build equity in their largest investment—their homes.

First-time buyers are back.

Housing forecasts from the National Association of REALTORS (NAR), the Mortgage Bankers’ Association, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae all predict existing-home sales will surpass 6 million in 2017, higher than anticipated sales for 2016. Who’s driving the surge? According to NAR, millennials who have put off buying a home are ready to buy. While they may have avoided buying a home due to student debt and limited employment, many are entering their 30s, a time when their attention turns to marriage, family and setting roots with homeownership. They’re predicted to be the driving force behind home and condominium sales from now until into 2020. (Source: MarketWatch)

What does this mean to you? If you’re a millennial who’s been on the fence about buying, now is the time to act. Give us a call to answer your questions about the market and the buying process.

Renters are embracing homeownership

Additionally, many renters who’ve resisted buying are starting home searches due to the economic weight of rising rents. This year’s home buyers seek to take advantage of comparatively low interest rates and, in most cases, static payments each month—an advantage of home ownership. Rental costs will only continue to rise; if you’re thinking of buying, now is an ideal time to do so.

What does this mean to you? Every month you pay rent, you lose the opportunity to build equity in a home of your own. Break free from the limits of renting and invest in your financial future. Come in the office and we’ll discuss your options.

Home prices are on the rise.

According to NAR, the median existing-home price not only increased 6.0 percent year-over-year in October, it’s also the 56th consecutive month of year-over-year increases. Prices are approaching the pre-recession peak.

What does this mean to you? Home prices, and subsequently home values, are increasing. If you’ve been waiting to list your home until you know you can sell it for what you think it’s worth, now is a great time to do so. We’ll be happy to give you a comparative market assessment of your home and help you get your home in list-ready shape.

If you’re in the market to buy, be prepared to act.

Homes were on the market for the shortest amount of time recorded since 2009: 52 days. The increase of qualified buyers in the market along with the increasing efficiency of the real estate process means homes are selling faster than ever, and in many cases buyers are engaging in bidding wars and paying over the list price to get the home of their dreams.

What does this mean to you? The home you have your eye on one day may be gone the next. In competitive markets, be prepared to come to the table with a competitive bid.

Looking for a new home?

New-home construction will increase to an average of 1.5 million per year to 2024, according to a report from NAR. However, experts anticipate housing starts will only increase to 1.22 million in 2017, which is less than the 1.5 million new homes required to keep up with growing demand. This inventory shortage of new entry-level homes—typically purchased by first-time buyers—may drive up prices in some areas. Home builders have been focusing on multi-family construction for the last few years, but this type of construction has begun to level off providing hope that builders will once again focus on single-family home construction. However, stricter proposed immigration policies may impact new home construction and tighten inventory.

What does this mean to you? First-time and repeat home buyers agree—there are plenty of advantages of buying a new home. Whether you want a home customized to your family’s needs or you don’t want to bother with age-related maintenance, a new home has much to offer. Give us a call to discuss your options.

Affordability pressures are increasing in many markets

Housing affordability in many of the nation’s largest cities has declined over the past few years, a trend that is expected to continue in 2017. However, there is hope. NAR created the Affordability Index to measure the affordability of homes across the United States. The Affordability Index assesses whether the typical family earning the median family income can qualify for a mortgage on a typical home based on the prevailing mortgage interest rate on loans closed on existing homes from the Federal Housing Finance Board.

The NAR Affordability Index is 170.2 (composite) and 169.8 (fixed), meaning a family earning the median family income has 170.2 percent of the income necessary to buy a median-priced, single-family home. Nationally, the qualifying income is $41,616, but it varies by region. In the Northeast, the qualifying income is $45,024. In the Midwest, it’s $32,640. In the South, it’s $36,960. In the West, it’s $61,824.

What does this mean to you? If you’ve had your eye on a new home, but weren’t sure if you could afford it, you may be pleasantly surprised. We may have homes in our area that meet your needs and budget. Give us a call today to discuss your home search.

3 Things to Do Now if You Plan to Buy Real Estate This Year

  1. Get pre-approved for a mortgage. If you’re like most buyers who plan to finance part of the home purchase, getting pre-approved for a mortgage will allow you to put in an offer on a home and may give you an advantage over other buyers. The added bonus: you can see how much home you can afford and budget accordingly.
  2. Start looking. While most buyers start their searches online, be sure to look at homes in neighborhoods you’d like to live in as well. Keep a notebook to write down what you like and dislike about each home you view in person or online. This will help you narrow down where to look and what to look for in your next home.
  3. Come to our real estate office. The buying process can be tricky. We’d love to guide you through it. We can help you find a home that fits your needs and budget. Give us a call to make an appointment today!

3 Things to Do Now if You Plan to Sell Real Estate This Year

  1. Make repairs. Most buyers want a home they can move into right away, without having to make extensive repairs. While the repairs may or may not add value, making them will give your home a competitive advantage over other similar homes on the market.
  2. Get a Comparative Market Analysis (CMA). A CMA not only gives you the current market value of your home, it’ll also show how your home compares to others in the area. This will help us price your home to sell in our market. Call us for your free CMA!
  3. Start packing. Help your buyers see themselves in your home by packing up items you don’t use regularly and storing them in an attic or a storage space. This will make your home easier to stage as well as make it easier to move later on.

Are you thinking of buying or selling?

Whether you’d like to buy or sell a home this year, want to know how much your home is worth, or have general questions about our local market, give us a call! We’d love to discuss the local real estate market with you.

Phoenix Market Update December 2016

Phoenix Market Update courtesy of Craig and Stacey Akers at NextHome Valleywide.  Contact 480-621-6828 or info@nexthomevalleywide.com for a Seller Solution book that will give you selling tips, pricing, and comparable home sales in your area.

 

Listings Under Contract Up 2.6%

Monthly Closed Sales Up 19%

Phoenix Metro Infographic - 2016-12 (1)

For Buyers: There’s both good and bad news for first-time home buyers this month. The good news is that there’s been a 22% increase in single family active listings asking between $175,000- $200,000 over the last 10 weeks, going from 1,065 to 1,295. Current inventory is 10% higher than where it was in week 49 of last year, adding some much needed choice to a high demand price range. The added supply is not universal across the valley; increases have been marked specifically in Buckeye, Surprise, Sun City, Peoria and Mesa. The bad news for home buyers is that supply overall is down 3.7% while the level of competing buyers is remaining seasonally consistent. The Southeast Valley specifically has not seen the typical increase in supply that happens this time of year. This indicates that the area will kick off 2017 with low supply just before the expected increase in buyer activity come February. In this case, the cost of waiting to purchase will be a lack of choice and possibly having to compromise on the condition or location of the property they choose to buy.

For Sellers: Bad news for buyers usually translates into good news for sellers, especially after positive news reports of Realtor.com ranking Phoenix as the #1 projected real estate market in the country for 2017. However, it’s still not a market to be overpriced regardless of the strong demand for homes. Some price ranges have more competing listings than others, especially in areas such as North Phoenix, Mesa, Gilbert and Peoria where there is competition from new home subdivisions. Permits for single family homes have been on the rise to accommodate the demand. This provides more choice for buyers in those areas, balances out the market and keeps annual appreciation in check. The areas projected to have the highest appreciation rates are those where there is a high level of fix and flip activity along with a more affordable price range under $175,000.

Contact the real estate experts at NextHome Valleywide in Chandler, AZ at 480-621-6828 for more information.  If you are currently looking at buying or selling a home in the Phoenix, Scottsdale or East Valley area and are not sure where to turn, search for homes at ChandlerAreaHomeSearch.com, where you can find single family homes, golf and lakefront properties, 55+ communities, townhomes and much more. Visit our blog at NextHomeValleywide for a monthly Phoenix Market Update.

Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Real Estate Analyst with The Cromford Report ©2016 Cromford Associates LLC and Tamboer Consulting LLC

Phoenix Market Update Nov 2016

Phoenix Market Update courtesy of Craig and Stacey Akers at NextHome Valleywide.  Contact 480-621-6828 or info@nexthomevalleywide.com for a Seller Solution book that will give you selling tips, pricing, and comparable home sales in your area.

New Listings Under $300,000 Down 10% in October

Average Sales Price per Square Foot Up 8%

 

Phoenix Market Update November 2016

For Buyers: October was a disappointing month for new active listings under $300,000. Normally October is a good month to buy as there is a boost of new listings without an increase in competing buyers. This rang true for new listings between $300,000 and $1,000,000 (up nearly 7%). New listings over $1,000,000 were down by nearly 14%, however this price point has been suffering from oversupply most of the year and the drop only equated to 57 fewer new listings in the past month. More importantly, new listings under $300,000 were down by nearly 10% with 669 fewer new listings than this time last year. For a price range that is already undersupplied for the current demand, this was not good news for buyers. The fact that sales under $300,000 comprised 72% of all sales in the past month tells us to expect prices to continue rising with the current lack of new supply hitting the market.

For Sellers: Undersupply for listings under $300,000 has had a positive effect on sellers. The Monthly Average Sales Price per Square Foot in this price point went up 8.4% from $110.42 last November to $119.72 this November. The $300,000 – $500,000 price range saw this measure go from $146.03 to $151.50, up 3.7%. The $500,000 -$1,000,000 price range increased 1.2% from $196.65 to $199.03; the Over $1,000,000 price range increased by 12.3% from $308.73 to $346.68 (with only 108 sales in this price point, average price measures will fluctuate dramatically from month to month). Average Days on Market is still very good for sellers under $300,000 at 61 days. The measure increases to 91 days within $300,000-$500,000; 142 days within $500,000-$1,000,000; and 191 days Over $1,000,000.

Contact the real estate experts at NextHome Valleywide in Chandler, AZ at 480-621-6828 for more information.  If you are currently looking at buying or selling a home in the Phoenix, Scottsdale or East Valley area and are not sure where to turn, search for homes at ChandlerAreaHomeSearch.com, where you can find single family homes, golf and lakefront properties, 55+ communities, townhomes and much more. Visit our blog at NextHomeValleywide for a monthly Phoenix Market Update.

Commentary written by Tina Tamboer, Senior Real Estate Analyst with The Cromford Report ©2016 Cromford Associates LLC and Tamboer Consulting LLC